In my example of my camping trip, another important point is high lighted. Did you catch it? In the gathering of data, we tend to not be as unbiased as we think. In other words, we skew or look for data that supports the end result that we hope to achieve or find beneficial to our personal cause. This is called the 'Error of Inductive Inference' or some call it the 'Tolstoy effect'. My wife, found great data that supported her cause, that of not going camping due to seven days of rain. I on the other hand, found a decent forecast that didn't look as bad, only two days of rain, followed by 5 days of glorious sunshine.

 

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